Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
