Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
