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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
M

Marseille
3 - 1
Montpellier

Radonjic (41'), Payet (80'), Germain (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mollet (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
51.36%25.61%23.04%
Both teams to score 48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27%54.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95%76.05%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69%54.31%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02%38.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3%75.71%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 51.36%
    Montpellier HSC 23.04%
    Draw 25.61%
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.36%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.04%

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