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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 12, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
M

Marseille
2 - 1
Monaco

Thauvin (5'), Benedetto (13')
Kamara (76'), Thauvin (77'), Germain (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ben Yedder (79' pen.)
Fofana (43')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMonaco
39.19%25.93%34.88%
Both teams to score 54.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01%49.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03%71.97%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26%59.74%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49%27.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98%63.02%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 39.19%
    Monaco 34.88%
    Draw 25.93%
MarseilleDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.88%

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