Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
