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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
M

Nantes
1 - 2
Montpellier

Kolo (33')
Coco (82'), Blas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laborde (30'), Delort (76')
Hilton (18'), Souquet (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMontpellier HSC
36.27%27.24%36.48%
Both teams to score 50.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66%55.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45%76.55%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75%29.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79%65.21%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88%29.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95%65.05%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 36.27%
    Montpellier HSC 36.48%
    Draw 27.23%
NantesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.52%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.48%

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