Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
