Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 68.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.