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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Allianz Riviera
LH

Nice
2 - 1
Le Havre

Laborde (55' pen.), Bouanani (75')
Boudaoui (64'), Ndombele (86'), Guessand (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lloris (90+2')
Lloris (82'), Pembele (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Nice
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Angers
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 3-1 Le Havre

Nice were thrashed at Lyon last weekend, but still showed more than enough in attack to suggest that they will have too much for a struggling Le Havre side that start the weekend in the bottom three. Only one other club in Europe's top-five leagues are yet to draw a game at all this season, and that is unlikely to change this weekend for Le Havre, as they are staring down the barrel at a 10th league defeat in 14 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawLe Havre
55.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24% (0.158 0.16) 20.24% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 49.04% (-0.723 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)51.48% (0.831 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.728 -0.73)73.28% (0.73 0.73)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.303 -0.3)18.32% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-0.516 -0.52)49.41% (0.519 0.52)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.04% (-0.658 -0.66)39.96% (0.659 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.39% (-0.609 -0.61)76.61% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Nice 55.76%
    Le Havre 20.24%
    Draw 23.99%
NiceDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.54% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 55.76%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Nice
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-4 Rangers
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-2 Lille
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-2 FC Twente
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Nice
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Angers
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-3 Reims
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-4 Lyon
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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