SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
23.95% ( -0.36) | 23.45% ( 0.06) | 52.6% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( -0.59) | 45.09% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.57) | 67.43% ( 0.57) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0.63) | 32.81% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( -0.7) | 69.38% ( 0.71) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.11) | 17.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( -0.19) | 47.34% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.95% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.6% |
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