Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.