Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.01%) and 0-1 (4.69%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
