PSG
0 - 1
Bayern

Paredes (52'), Neymar (81'), Silva (84'), Kurzawa (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coman (59')
Davies (28'), Gnabry (52'), Sule (56'), Muller (90+4')

Build‑up

Joshua Kimmich: 'Bayern felt invincible heading into PSG clash'

Kingsley Coman: 'I feel a little sad for Paris Saint-Germain'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.01%) and 0-1 (4.69%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Bayern Munich
37.74%	21.62%	40.65%

Both teams to score 70.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.34%

28.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.44%

49.56%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.64%

16.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.02%

45.98%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78%

15.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14%

43.86%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 37.74%

Bayern Munich 40.65%

Draw 21.62%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 4.63% 1-0 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 4.36% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.97% 4-3 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.59% Total : 37.74%	1-1 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 7.23% 3-3 @ 2.74% 0-0 @ 2.49% Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 5.01% 0-1 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.3% 3-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 4.15% Total : 40.65%