Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.