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Champions League | Semi-Finals
Aug 18, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
PL

RB Leipzig
0 - 3
PSG


Laimer (61'), Halstenberg (79'), Poulsen (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Marquinhos (13'), di Maria (42'), Bernat (56')
Kimpembe (45+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawParis Saint-Germain
24.59%22.71%52.69%
Both teams to score 58.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84%41.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.45%63.55%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84%30.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69%66.31%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33%15.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.29%44.71%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 24.59%
    Paris Saint-Germain 52.7%
    Draw 22.71%
RB LeipzigDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.29%
1-0 @ 5.66%
2-0 @ 3.4%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.59%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 8.12%
1-3 @ 6.01%
0-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 2.79%
0-4 @ 2.32%
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 52.7%


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