SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Reims win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Monaco |
35.04% ( -0.21) | 24.23% ( 0.06) | 40.73% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.33) | 42.23% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.33) | 64.63% ( 0.33) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.27) | 23.76% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( -0.38) | 57.9% ( 0.38) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( -0.08) | 20.87% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( -0.12) | 53.57% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.73% |
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