SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Reims in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Reims.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Lyon |
39.98% ( -0.81) | 25.61% ( -0.1) | 34.4% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( 0.65) | 48.69% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( 0.59) | 70.8% ( -0.59) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -0.12) | 24.06% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.17) | 58.33% ( 0.17) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.88) | 27.18% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( 1.13) | 62.58% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.4% |
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