SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Nice |
41.31% ( -0.18) | 24.98% ( -0.03) | 33.71% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( 0.2) | 46.01% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% ( 0.19) | 68.31% ( -0.19) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( 0) | 22.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( 0) | 55.64% ( -0) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( 0.23) | 26.3% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.56% ( 0.3) | 61.43% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Nice |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.71% |
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