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M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
R

Marseille
2 - 1
Reims

Ounahi (23'), Oliveira (73')
Lodi (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ito (10')
Munetsi (36'), Wilson-Esbrand (45+3'), Richardson (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Reims 1-3 Montpellier
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-1 Reims

Despite Wednesday's defeat in Greece, we expect Marseille to kick-start their Ligue 1 campaign with a narrow victory over Reims, who registered one of the worst away records in the French top flight last season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Reims had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawReims
51.76% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.87% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.53% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.82% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)33.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.86% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 51.75%
    Reims 24.37%
    Draw 23.87%
MarseilleDrawReims
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 24.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Marseille
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Angers
Sunday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-3 Montpellier
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Reims
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-2 Angers
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Reims
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lille
Saturday, May 6 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-0 Reims
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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