Given what happened on the opening weekend, we expect Lyon and Montpellier to serve up an entertaining spectacle at the Groupama Stadium, with a high-scoring draw looking like the most probable outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
49.34% ( -0.01)	22.59% ( -0)	28.06% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.43% (

0.01)

37.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.2% (

0.01)

59.8% (

-0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47% (

15.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.54% (

44.46% (

-0)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

0.01)

25.71% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36% (

0.02)

60.64% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lyon 49.34%

Montpellier HSC 28.06%

Draw 22.59%

Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.34%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.06%