Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.