Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 6.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.82%) and 1-0 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.