Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.