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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
N

Marseille
2 - 2
Nice

Clauss (31'), Aubameyang (56' pen.)
Moumbagna (22')
Moumbagna (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (13'), Bard (72')
Moffi (11'), Cho (54'), Sanson (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Nice

Marseille have been on a poor run but they remain solid on home soil, only behind two sides for points won at home. Nice have been inconsistent in the past two months and have not looked like the same side that started the league. Considering these factors, we think that this will be a close affair and we are expecting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNice
48.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.59% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (0.034999999999997 0.03)48.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (0.032 0.03)70.93% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.14% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.02600000000001 0.03)32.65% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)69.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 48.56%
    Nice 26.59%
    Draw 24.84%
MarseilleDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Benfica (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Marseille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Marseille
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-2 PSG
Sunday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Sunday, March 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nice
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Nice
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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