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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stadium Municipal
A

Toulouse
3 - 2
Angers

Dejaegere (10'), van den Boomen (40' pen.), Spierings (67')
Nicolaisen (31'), Aboukhlal (48'), Chaibi (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bentaleb (33'), Salama (90+3')
Doumbia (21'), Amadou (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Toulouse
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-1 Angers

A Toulouse outfit boasting a fully-fit Ratao can deepen Angers' everlasting defensive woes this weekend, as Montanier's side have found a sixth gear when playing in front of their own fans recently. The visitors can still cause problems in the final third, but a full-strength Toulouse were full value for their point at Lyon and should end Sunday's clash with all three to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawAngers
65.81% (-0.313 -0.31) 20.21% (0.158 0.16) 13.98% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.328 -0.33)46.11% (0.337 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.311 -0.31)68.41% (0.32000000000001 0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.188 -0.19)13.17% (0.195 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.14% (-0.39 -0.39)39.86% (0.4 0.4)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)80.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 65.81%
    Angers 13.98%
    Draw 20.21%
ToulouseDrawAngers
2-0 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.16% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 65.81%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.21%
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.072 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Toulouse
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-0 Reims
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-3 PSG
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 0-3 Marseille
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Angers
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 5-0 Angers
Saturday, September 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-4 Reims
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1


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