SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Clermont | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Nantes | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 4 | 14 | 10 |
| 2 | Marseille | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
24.55% ( 0.23) | 22.73% ( 0.2) | 52.72% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.68) | 41.26% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.34% ( -0.7) | 63.65% ( 0.69) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.18) | 30.24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% ( -0.22) | 66.41% ( 0.21) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( -0.39) | 15.7% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.23% ( -0.73) | 44.76% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.55% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.72% |
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