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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
M

Angers
0 - 3
Marseille

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clauss (35'), Suarez Charris (50'), Gerson (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-1 Angers
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Angers 0-2 Marseille

Unless Marseille also go a man down within the first 10 seconds, Angers' momentum should be halted by the away-day specialists, and the international break came at a more ideal time for Tudor rather than Baticle. Les Olympiens have started the new domestic season as they mean to go on, whereas Angers are still prone to a leaky defensive display and could be picked off by the visitors' wealth of attacking options on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Angers had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
AngersDrawMarseille
24.89% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.39% (0.0030000000000001 0) 49.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)52.33% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (-0.026 -0.03)74.02% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)35.95% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.27% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)72.73% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.88%
Score Analysis
    Angers 24.89%
    Marseille 49.71%
    Draw 25.38%
AngersDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.75%
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.89%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 9.19% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.88%
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 49.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Angers
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 5-0 Angers
Saturday, September 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-4 Reims
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 3-1 Angers
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Brest
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Frankfurt
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Marseille
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Auxerre 0-2 Marseille
Saturday, September 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Clermont
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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