Troyes
1 - 1
Brest

Rami (80')
Kabore (13'), Moulin (13')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Honorat (5')
Herelle (22'), Mounie (54')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brest will hope that defeat to Montpellier last time out was just a blip and they will be boosted by the returning Chardonnet in defence. Troyes have tended to be on the wrong end of close encounters this season and we think it will be the same again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Brest
42.29%	26.82%	30.9%

Both teams to score 50.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.42%

54.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.08%

75.92%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48%

25.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63%

60.37%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58%

32.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07%

68.93%

Score Analysis

Troyes 42.28%

Brest 30.9%

Draw 26.81%

Troyes	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.28%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.9%