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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
BL

Troyes
1 - 1
Brest

Rami (80')
Kabore (13'), Moulin (13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Honorat (5')
Herelle (22'), Mounie (54')

We said: Troyes 1-2 Brest

Brest will hope that defeat to Montpellier last time out was just a blip and they will be boosted by the returning Chardonnet in defence. Troyes have tended to be on the wrong end of close encounters this season and we think it will be the same again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawBrest
42.29%26.82%30.9%
Both teams to score 50.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42%54.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92%
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48%25.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63%60.37%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58%32.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07%68.93%
Score Analysis
    Troyes 42.28%
    Brest 30.9%
    Draw 26.81%
TroyesDrawBrest
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.9%

Read more!
Read more!


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