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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
LL

Troyes
2 - 0
Lorient

Ripart (7'), Kouame (34')
Kabore (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Diarra (83')

We said: Troyes 1-1 Lorient

With the two teams devoid of confidence and struggling for form, we predict a cagey encounter on Wednesday and expect it to finish level. While the visitors' form is noticeably poor, they meet a Troyes side in a slump of their own, and Pelissier's side should, at least, be able to arrest their losing run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLorient
49.58%26.07%24.34%
Both teams to score 48.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63%55.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42%76.57%
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62%22.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12%55.88%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88%38.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11%74.88%
Score Analysis
    Troyes 49.58%
    Lorient 24.34%
    Draw 26.07%
TroyesDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 8.53%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.34%

Read more!
Read more!


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