SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Troyes |
| 55.24% | 23.89% | 20.87% |
| Both teams to score 50.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.72% | 50.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.77% | 72.22% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% | 18.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.02% | 48.98% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.65% | 75.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.23% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.64% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.87% |
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