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LL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
T

Lens
4 - 0
Troyes

Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawTroyes
55.24%23.89%20.87%
Both teams to score 50.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.72%50.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.77%72.22%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93%18.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02%48.98%
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4%38.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65%75.34%
Score Analysis
    Lens 55.23%
    Troyes 20.87%
    Draw 23.88%
LensDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 11.93%
2-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.23%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.64%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 20.87%

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