Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
