SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Caen |
| 39.68% | 29.35% | 30.97% |
| Both teams to score 43.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.51% | 63.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.18% | 82.82% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% | 31.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.4% | 67.6% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% | 37.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% 2-0 @ 7.84% 2-1 @ 7.78% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.02% Total : 39.67% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.35% | 0-1 @ 11.49% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.8% Total : 30.96% |
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