Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Pau had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
