Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
