Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
