Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
