Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Angers had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
0.46) 
-0.69) 
