Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.07) 
