Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.