Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Valenciennes
40.46%	28.55%	31% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.16%

60.84% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.12%

80.87% (

-0)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53%

29.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52%

65.47% (

-0)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

-0)

35.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.59% (

-0)

72.41% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bastia 40.45%

Valenciennes 30.99%

Draw 28.53%

Bastia	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.53% Total : 40.45%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.04% Total : 30.99%