Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 40.15%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 29.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nancy would win this match.