Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.