Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
