Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Caen had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
