Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Chateauroux had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Chateauroux win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Le Havre in this match.
