Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 34.53%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.