Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
