Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Chateauroux had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Chateauroux win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.