Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for FC Chambly had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 2-1 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Chambly win was 0-1 (13.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.