Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Chambly win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Chateauroux had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Chambly win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.17%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Chateauroux win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Chambly would win this match.