Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.