Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Chateauroux had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.65%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Chateauroux win was 0-1 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.
