Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.13%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.